AC Milan vs Inter: Elo model prediction

⚽ · Model favourite: Inter (49%).

Outcome probabilities

1 · AC Milan28%fair odds 3.55
X · Draw22%fair odds 4.47
2 · Inter49%fair odds 2.02

Elo rating

AC Milan16087 of 20 in the league by strength
Inter17431 of 20 in the league by strength

Exp. goals

1.4 : 1.9

Most likely scores: 1:1 (10%), 1:2 (9%), 0:1 (7%)

🔒 Over 2.5, BTTS — Pro

Stats: last 10 matches

TeamMatchesOver 2.5BTTSScoresConcedes
AC Milan106/105/101.81.5
Inter107/106/102.41.3

Frequency over 10 matches is history, not probability: the sample is small and opponents differ. The market accounts for more.

Form: AC Milan

  • L2:4Bologna
  • W2:0@ Udinese
  • L0:3@ Bournemouth
  • W3:2Atalanta
  • W4:0@ Red Bull Salzburg

Form: Inter

  • W2:0@ Venezia
  • W2:1Fiorentina
  • W1:0Shakhtar Donetsk
  • W3:1@ Bologna
  • L3:4Club Brugge KV

Head-to-head (last year)

  • DAC Milan 1:1 Inter
  • WAC Milan 1:0 Inter
  • WInter 0:1 AC Milan

Result from the point of view of AC Milan.

More matches: Serie A

This is a model estimate, not betting advice. The model does not know line-ups, injuries or motivation. Bets priced above fair are found by the scanner.

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