Bologna vs Monza: Elo model prediction

⚽ · Model favourite: Bologna (46%).

Outcome probabilities

1 · Bologna46%fair odds 2.16
X · Draw22%fair odds 4.58
2 · Monza32%fair odds 3.14

Elo rating

Bologna150613 of 20 in the league by strength
Monza152710 of 20 in the league by strength

Exp. goals

1.9 : 1.6

Most likely scores: 1:1 (9%), 2:1 (9%), 1:2 (7%)

🔒 Over 2.5, BTTS — Pro

Stats: last 10 matches

TeamMatchesOver 2.5BTTSScoresConcedes
Bologna104/105/101.21.3
Monza108/108/101.82.0

Frequency over 10 matches is history, not probability: the sample is small and opponents differ. The market accounts for more.

Form: Bologna

  • W4:2@ AC Milan
  • W2:0@ Cagliari
  • L1:3Inter
  • W2:1@ Lecce
  • D1:1Torino

Form: Monza

  • L1:4Napoli
  • L2:3@ Torino
  • W4:0Cagliari
  • L1:3@ Lazio
  • D2:2@ Stade Brestois 29

Head-to-head (last year)

The teams have not met in the last year.

More matches: Serie A

This is a model estimate, not betting advice. The model does not know line-ups, injuries or motivation. Bets priced above fair are found by the scanner.

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