Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: Elo model prediction

⚽ · Model favourite: Paris Saint Germain (63%).

Outcome probabilities

1 · Le Havre18%fair odds 5.45
X · Draw19%fair odds 5.33
2 · Paris Saint Germain63%fair odds 1.59

Elo rating

Le Havre143418 of 18 in the league by strength
Paris Saint Germain17241 of 18 in the league by strength

Exp. goals

1.2 : 2.4

Most likely scores: 1:2 (9%), 1:1 (8%), 0:2 (8%)

🔒 Over 2.5, BTTS — Pro

Stats: last 10 matches

TeamMatchesOver 2.5BTTSScoresConcedes
Le Havre105/106/101.51.6
Paris Saint Germain108/108/102.81.2

Frequency over 10 matches is history, not probability: the sample is small and opponents differ. The market accounts for more.

Form: Le Havre

  • L3:4@ Marseille
  • L1:3Auxerre
  • L0:1@ Lille
  • W6:1Boulogne
  • L2:3@ Toulouse

Form: Paris Saint Germain

  • W2:0Lyon
  • W4:2Barcelona
  • W3:1@ Strasbourg
  • W4:2@ Manchester City
  • W3:1Le Mans

Head-to-head (last year)

  • LLe Havre 0:1 Paris Saint Germain
  • LParis Saint Germain 3:0 Le Havre

Result from the point of view of Le Havre.

More matches: Ligue 1

This is a model estimate, not betting advice. The model does not know line-ups, injuries or motivation. Bets priced above fair are found by the scanner.

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