Nice vs Rennes: Elo model prediction

⚽ · The model sees an even match.

Outcome probabilities

1 · Nice41%fair odds 2.41
X · Draw25%fair odds 4.00
2 · Rennes34%fair odds 2.98

Elo rating

Nice153010 of 18 in the league by strength
Rennes15708 of 18 in the league by strength

Exp. goals

1.5 : 1.3

Most likely scores: 1:1 (12%), 2:1 (9%), 1:0 (9%)

🔒 Over 2.5, BTTS — Pro

Stats: last 10 matches

TeamMatchesOver 2.5BTTSScoresConcedes
Nice105/105/100.81.0
Rennes107/105/101.71.4

Frequency over 10 matches is history, not probability: the sample is small and opponents differ. The market accounts for more.

Form: Nice

  • W2:1@ Stade Brestois 29
  • L1:2@ Lyon
  • W2:1Strasbourg
  • W2:1Lille
  • L0:1@ Auxerre

Form: Rennes

  • W3:0Strasbourg
  • D2:2@ Juventus
  • L3:4@ Paris FC
  • W2:1OFI
  • W4:1Auxerre

Head-to-head (last year)

  • LNice 0:4 Rennes
  • WRennes 1:2 Nice

Result from the point of view of Nice.

More matches: Ligue 1

This is a model estimate, not betting advice. The model does not know line-ups, injuries or motivation. Bets priced above fair are found by the scanner.

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