Barcelona vs Alaves: Elo model prediction
⚽ · Model favourite: Barcelona (78%).
Outcome probabilities
1 · Barcelona78%fair odds 1.28
X · Draw13%fair odds 7.83
2 · Alaves9%fair odds 11.24
Elo rating
| Barcelona | 1787 | 1 of 20 in the league by strength |
| Alaves | 1551 | 12 of 20 in the league by strength |
Stats: last 10 matches
| Team | Matches | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Scores | Concedes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 10 | 10/10 | 8/10 | 3.9 | 1.5 |
| Alaves | 10 | 5/10 | 6/10 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Frequency over 10 matches is history, not probability: the sample is small and opponents differ. The market accounts for more.
Form: Barcelona
- L1:2Real Madrid
- L2:4@ Paris Saint Germain
- W5:2@ Real Betis
- W4:1@ Galatasaray
- W3:0Getafe
Form: Alaves
- D1:1Malaga
- L1:2@ Celta Vigo
- L1:2Atletico Madrid
- D0:0@ Athletic Club
- L0:1Valencia
Head-to-head (last year)
- LAlaves 1:0 Barcelona
- WBarcelona 3:1 Alaves
Result from the point of view of Barcelona.
More matches: La Liga
This is a model estimate, not betting advice. The model does not know line-ups, injuries or motivation. Bets priced above fair are found by the scanner.