Villarreal vs Espanyol: Elo model prediction
⚽ · Model favourite: Villarreal (65%).
Outcome probabilities
1 · Villarreal65%fair odds 1.53
X · Draw18%fair odds 5.55
2 · Espanyol17%fair odds 5.96
Elo rating
| Villarreal | 1631 | 5 of 20 in the league by strength |
| Espanyol | 1490 | 19 of 20 in the league by strength |
Stats: last 10 matches
| Team | Matches | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Scores | Concedes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 10 | 8/10 | 7/10 | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| Espanyol | 10 | 6/10 | 8/10 | 1.2 | 1.8 |
Frequency over 10 matches is history, not probability: the sample is small and opponents differ. The market accounts for more.
Form: Villarreal
- W5:0@ Manacor
- W2:1@ Valencia
- L3:4@ Liverpool
- D0:0Elche
- W3:1Napoli
Form: Espanyol
- L3:4@ Sestao River
- L1:2@ Racing Santander
- L0:1Atletico Madrid
- D1:1@ Malaga
- L1:3Elche
Head-to-head (last year)
- WVillarreal 4:1 Espanyol
- WEspanyol 0:2 Villarreal
Result from the point of view of Villarreal.
More matches: La Liga
This is a model estimate, not betting advice. The model does not know line-ups, injuries or motivation. Bets priced above fair are found by the scanner.