Real Betis vs Malaga: Elo model prediction

⚽ · Model favourite: Real Betis (61%).

Outcome probabilities

1 · Real Betis61%fair odds 1.63
X · Draw20%fair odds 4.96
2 · Malaga19%fair odds 5.41

Elo rating

Real Betis16883 of 20 in the league by strength
Malaga156610 of 20 in the league by strength

Exp. goals

2.1 : 1.1

Most likely scores: 2:1 (10%), 1:1 (9%), 2:0 (9%)

🔒 Over 2.5, BTTS — Pro

Stats: last 10 matches

TeamMatchesOver 2.5BTTSScoresConcedes
Real Betis105/106/101.91.3
Malaga104/106/101.01.7

Frequency over 10 matches is history, not probability: the sample is small and opponents differ. The market accounts for more.

Form: Real Betis

  • D0:0@ Celta Vigo
  • W1:0Feyenoord
  • L2:5Barcelona
  • W3:2FC Porto
  • W5:2Osasuna

Form: Malaga

  • W3:0@ Alcazar
  • D1:1@ Alaves
  • L2:5Real Sociedad
  • D1:1Espanyol
  • L0:1@ Getafe

Head-to-head (last year)

The teams have not met in the last year.

More matches: La Liga

This is a model estimate, not betting advice. The model does not know line-ups, injuries or motivation. Bets priced above fair are found by the scanner.

Open scanner All matches today