Levante vs Atletico Madrid: Elo model prediction

⚽ · Model favourite: Atletico Madrid (49%).

Outcome probabilities

1 · Levante28%fair odds 3.58
X · Draw23%fair odds 4.28
2 · Atletico Madrid49%fair odds 2.05

Elo rating

Levante155111 of 20 in the league by strength
Atletico Madrid16814 of 20 in the league by strength

Exp. goals

1.3 : 1.8

Most likely scores: 1:1 (11%), 1:2 (9%), 0:1 (8%)

🔒 Over 2.5, BTTS — Pro

Stats: last 10 matches

TeamMatchesOver 2.5BTTSScoresConcedes
Levante107/107/101.61.9
Atletico Madrid106/104/101.70.8

Frequency over 10 matches is history, not probability: the sample is small and opponents differ. The market accounts for more.

Form: Levante

  • L1:2@ Real Sociedad
  • W3:1Athletic Club
  • D1:1@ Deportivo La Coruna
  • D3:3Sevilla
  • L1:3@ Villarreal

Form: Atletico Madrid

  • W1:0Deportivo La Coruna
  • D1:1@ VfB Stuttgart
  • W1:0@ Espanyol
  • W2:0Manchester United
  • W2:1@ Alaves

Head-to-head (last year)

  • DLevante 0:0 Atletico Madrid
  • LAtletico Madrid 3:1 Levante

Result from the point of view of Levante.

More matches: La Liga

This is a model estimate, not betting advice. The model does not know line-ups, injuries or motivation. Bets priced above fair are found by the scanner.

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