Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: Elo model prediction

⚽ · Model favourite: Celta Vigo (43%).

Outcome probabilities

1 · Rayo Vallecano31%fair odds 3.23
X · Draw26%fair odds 3.83
2 · Celta Vigo43%fair odds 2.33

Elo rating

Rayo Vallecano152915 of 20 in the league by strength
Celta Vigo15719 of 20 in the league by strength

Exp. goals

1.2 : 1.4

Most likely scores: 1:1 (12%), 0:1 (11%), 1:2 (9%)

🔒 Over 2.5, BTTS — Pro

Stats: last 10 matches

TeamMatchesOver 2.5BTTSScoresConcedes
Rayo Vallecano107/109/101.52.2
Celta Vigo104/105/101.20.7

Frequency over 10 matches is history, not probability: the sample is small and opponents differ. The market accounts for more.

Form: Rayo Vallecano

  • W3:2@ Recreativo Huelva
  • L0:3Elche
  • D1:1@ Getafe
  • D1:1@ Osasuna
  • W2:1Espanyol

Form: Celta Vigo

  • D0:0Real Betis
  • W2:1@ Celtic
  • W2:1Alaves
  • L1:2Juventus
  • D0:0@ Elche

Head-to-head (last year)

  • LCelta Vigo 3:0 Rayo Vallecano

Result from the point of view of Rayo Vallecano.

More matches: La Liga

This is a model estimate, not betting advice. The model does not know line-ups, injuries or motivation. Bets priced above fair are found by the scanner.

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