Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund: Elo model prediction
⚽ · Model favourite: Bayern München (68%).
Outcome probabilities
1 · Bayern München68%fair odds 1.47
X · Draw17%fair odds 5.87
2 · Borussia Dortmund15%fair odds 6.64
Elo rating
| Bayern München | 1842 | 1 of 18 in the league by strength |
| Borussia Dortmund | 1703 | 3 of 18 in the league by strength |
Stats: last 10 matches
| Team | Matches | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Scores | Concedes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 10 | 9/10 | 7/10 | 3.6 | 1.1 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 10 | 6/10 | 5/10 | 1.8 | 1.0 |
Frequency over 10 matches is history, not probability: the sample is small and opponents differ. The market accounts for more.
Form: Bayern München
- W6:11. FC Magdeburg
- W3:1@ SC Freiburg
- D2:2Arsenal
- W6:1RB Leipzig
- D3:3@ Viking
Form: Borussia Dortmund
- W3:2Werder Bremen
- W1:0Eintracht Frankfurt
- W2:1@ Sabah FA
- D0:0@ Union Berlin
- L0:1@ Bodo/Glimt
Head-to-head (last year)
- WBorussia Dortmund 1:2 Bayern München
- WBorussia Dortmund 2:3 Bayern München
- WBayern München 2:1 Borussia Dortmund
Result from the point of view of Bayern München.
More matches: Bundesliga
- SV Elversberg — FSV Mainz 05
- Bayer Leverkusen — VfB Stuttgart
- FC Augsburg — SC Freiburg
- Borussia Mönchengladbach — SC Paderborn 07
- Werder Bremen — 1899 Hoffenheim
- FC Schalke 04 — RB Leipzig
This is a model estimate, not betting advice. The model does not know line-ups, injuries or motivation. Bets priced above fair are found by the scanner.