Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07: Elo model prediction

⚽ · Model favourite: Borussia Mönchengladbach (54%).

Outcome probabilities

1 · Borussia Mönchengladbach54%fair odds 1.84
X · Draw22%fair odds 4.57
2 · SC Paderborn 0724%fair odds 4.22

Elo rating

Borussia Mönchengladbach160311 of 18 in the league by strength
SC Paderborn 07159214 of 18 in the league by strength

Exp. goals

2.0 : 1.2

Most likely scores: 1:1 (10%), 2:1 (10%), 1:0 (8%)

🔒 Over 2.5, BTTS — Pro

Stats: last 10 matches

TeamMatchesOver 2.5BTTSScoresConcedes
Borussia Mönchengladbach108/106/101.72.3
SC Paderborn 07104/103/101.11.2

Frequency over 10 matches is history, not probability: the sample is small and opponents differ. The market accounts for more.

Form: Borussia Mönchengladbach

  • W2:0Karlsruher SC
  • W3:2@ VfB Stuttgart
  • L1:21899 Hoffenheim
  • L1:2@ 1. FC Köln
  • D1:1@ FC St. Pauli

Form: SC Paderborn 07

  • L0:1VfB Stuttgart
  • W1:0Hamburger SV
  • D2:2@ Werder Bremen
  • L0:2VfB Stuttgart
  • W1:0@ DC United

Head-to-head (last year)

The teams have not met in the last year.

More matches: Bundesliga

This is a model estimate, not betting advice. The model does not know line-ups, injuries or motivation. Bets priced above fair are found by the scanner.

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