FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: Elo model prediction

⚽ · The model sees an even match.

Outcome probabilities

1 · FC Augsburg42%fair odds 2.39
X · Draw19%fair odds 5.19
2 · SC Freiburg39%fair odds 2.58

Elo rating

FC Augsburg160112 of 18 in the league by strength
SC Freiburg16975 of 18 in the league by strength

Exp. goals

2.3 : 2.2

Most likely scores: 2:2 (7%), 2:1 (6%), 1:2 (6%)

🔒 Over 2.5, BTTS — Pro

Stats: last 10 matches

TeamMatchesOver 2.5BTTSScoresConcedes
FC Augsburg108/108/102.51.7
SC Freiburg109/107/102.21.7

Frequency over 10 matches is history, not probability: the sample is small and opponents differ. The market accounts for more.

Form: FC Augsburg

  • W4:2@ SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
  • D1:1Union Berlin
  • L3:4@ SV Elversberg
  • D2:2Bayern München
  • D2:2Hertha BSC

Form: SC Freiburg

  • W3:2VfL Wolfsburg
  • L1:3Bayern München
  • L0:3@ Monaco
  • L1:2@ Bayer Leverkusen
  • W3:2FK Jablonec

Head-to-head (last year)

  • DFC Augsburg 2:2 SC Freiburg

Result from the point of view of FC Augsburg.

More matches: Bundesliga

This is a model estimate, not betting advice. The model does not know line-ups, injuries or motivation. Bets priced above fair are found by the scanner.

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