FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig: Elo model prediction

⚽ · The model sees an even match.

Outcome probabilities

1 · FC Schalke 0440%fair odds 2.49
X · Draw24%fair odds 4.23
2 · RB Leipzig36%fair odds 2.76

Elo rating

FC Schalke 04160310 of 18 in the league by strength
RB Leipzig16507 of 18 in the league by strength

Exp. goals

1.6 : 1.5

Most likely scores: 1:1 (11%), 2:1 (9%), 1:2 (8%)

🔒 Over 2.5, BTTS — Pro

Stats: last 10 matches

TeamMatchesOver 2.5BTTSScoresConcedes
FC Schalke 04104/103/101.01.1
RB Leipzig108/105/102.22.0

Frequency over 10 matches is history, not probability: the sample is small and opponents differ. The market accounts for more.

Form: FC Schalke 04

  • L0:2@ Dynamo Dresden
  • D0:0@ 1. FC Köln
  • L0:1FSV Mainz 05
  • L1:2@ SC Freiburg
  • W1:0@ Austria Lustenau

Form: RB Leipzig

  • W2:1@ Rot-Weiß Essen
  • W4:0SV Elversberg
  • L1:4@ Real Madrid
  • L1:6@ Bayern München
  • W1:0PSV Eindhoven

Head-to-head (last year)

The teams have not met in the last year.

More matches: Bundesliga

This is a model estimate, not betting advice. The model does not know line-ups, injuries or motivation. Bets priced above fair are found by the scanner.

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