Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: Elo model prediction

⚽ · Model favourite: Bayer Leverkusen (50%).

Outcome probabilities

1 · Bayer Leverkusen50%fair odds 1.99
X · Draw22%fair odds 4.58
2 · VfB Stuttgart28%fair odds 3.59

Elo rating

Bayer Leverkusen17422 of 18 in the league by strength
VfB Stuttgart17024 of 18 in the league by strength

Exp. goals

2.0 : 1.4

Most likely scores: 1:1 (9%), 2:1 (9%), 1:2 (7%)

🔒 Over 2.5, BTTS — Pro

Stats: last 10 matches

TeamMatchesOver 2.5BTTSScoresConcedes
Bayer Leverkusen107/104/102.71.1
VfB Stuttgart105/103/101.80.8

Frequency over 10 matches is history, not probability: the sample is small and opponents differ. The market accounts for more.

Form: Bayer Leverkusen

  • W5:21. FC Nürnberg
  • L0:3@ 1899 Hoffenheim
  • W2:0@ OFI
  • W2:1SC Freiburg
  • W4:0@ Lech Poznan

Form: VfB Stuttgart

  • W1:0@ SC Paderborn 07
  • L2:3Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • D1:1Atletico Madrid
  • L0:1@ Hamburger SV
  • W3:0@ Slovan Bratislava

Head-to-head (last year)

  • LVfB Stuttgart 3:1 Bayer Leverkusen
  • LBayer Leverkusen 1:4 VfB Stuttgart

Result from the point of view of Bayer Leverkusen.

More matches: Bundesliga

This is a model estimate, not betting advice. The model does not know line-ups, injuries or motivation. Bets priced above fair are found by the scanner.

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