SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05: Elo model prediction

⚽ · Model favourite: FSV Mainz 05 (54%).

Outcome probabilities

1 · SV Elversberg27%fair odds 3.73
X · Draw20%fair odds 5.10
2 · FSV Mainz 0554%fair odds 1.87

Elo rating

SV Elversberg16229 of 18 in the league by strength
FSV Mainz 0516676 of 18 in the league by strength

Exp. goals

1.7 : 2.4

Most likely scores: 1:2 (8%), 1:1 (7%), 2:2 (7%)

🔒 Over 2.5, BTTS — Pro

Stats: last 10 matches

TeamMatchesOver 2.5BTTSScoresConcedes
SV Elversberg107/106/101.62.0
FSV Mainz 05107/104/102.81.5

Frequency over 10 matches is history, not probability: the sample is small and opponents differ. The market accounts for more.

Form: SV Elversberg

  • L0:2SV Darmstadt 98
  • L0:4@ RB Leipzig
  • W4:3FC Augsburg
  • L0:1@ Union Berlin
  • L1:2@ Waldhof Mannheim

Form: FSV Mainz 05

  • L0:2@ VfL Bochum
  • L2:3Werder Bremen
  • W1:0@ FC Schalke 04
  • L3:4Bayer Leverkusen
  • W3:0@ Waldhof Mannheim

Head-to-head (last year)

The teams have not met in the last year.

More matches: Bundesliga

This is a model estimate, not betting advice. The model does not know line-ups, injuries or motivation. Bets priced above fair are found by the scanner.

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