England · Premier League: Elo ratings

The strongest team by Elo is Manchester City (1760), followed by Arsenal (1757) and Brighton (1713). Average rating of the 20 teams: 1614.

Upcoming matches (8)

Kick-offMatch 1X2
Chelsea — Manchester United 65%17%18% Prediction →
Bournemouth — Leeds 62%20%18% Prediction →
Brentford — Nottingham Forest 66%19%15% Prediction →
Coventry — Sunderland 44%25%31% Prediction →
Hull City — Ipswich 45%26%30% Prediction →
Manchester City — Brighton 42%22%36% Prediction →
Tottenham — Crystal Palace 59%21%20% Prediction →
Aston Villa — Fulham 59%21%19% Prediction →

Power table: England · Premier League

#TeamEloMatchesLast match
1Manchester City176017
2Arsenal175718
3Brighton171317
4Bournemouth167518
5Brentford166313
6Liverpool165018
7Aston Villa165021
8Leeds163016
9Chelsea162417
10Sunderland159219
11Everton158317
12Manchester United156918
13Tottenham156717
14Ipswich156716
15Newcastle155917
16Hull City155915
17Coventry155113
18Nottingham Forest154718
19Crystal Palace153521
20Fulham152317

Other leagues

How it works

Every match updates the ratings: beating a strong team gives more, so does a big score. Home advantage is 65 points. After a break of 45+ days a rating partly returns to the league average. Outcome probabilities come from a Poisson model of the teams' scoring strength adjusted by Elo. Under each percentage — the fair odds.