Tottenham vs Crystal Palace: Elo model prediction

⚽ · Model favourite: Tottenham (59%).

Outcome probabilities

1 · Tottenham59%fair odds 1.68
X · Draw21%fair odds 4.79
2 · Crystal Palace20%fair odds 5.05

Elo rating

Tottenham156713 of 20 in the league by strength
Crystal Palace153519 of 20 in the league by strength

Exp. goals

2.1 : 1.1

Most likely scores: 2:1 (10%), 1:1 (10%), 2:0 (9%)

🔒 Over 2.5, BTTS — Pro

Stats: last 10 matches

TeamMatchesOver 2.5BTTSScoresConcedes
Tottenham105/105/101.41.4
Crystal Palace106/104/101.41.8

Frequency over 10 matches is history, not probability: the sample is small and opponents differ. The market accounts for more.

Form: Tottenham

  • W2:0@ Chelsea
  • W3:1Coventry
  • D1:1@ Manchester United
  • L2:3Aston Villa
  • L1:3@ Liverpool

Form: Crystal Palace

  • W1:0@ Fulham
  • L0:2Newcastle
  • D2:2@ Beşiktaş
  • L0:5@ Brighton
  • L2:3@ Lyon

Head-to-head (last year)

  • LTottenham 1:3 Crystal Palace
  • WCrystal Palace 0:1 Tottenham

Result from the point of view of Tottenham.

More matches: Premier League

This is a model estimate, not betting advice. The model does not know line-ups, injuries or motivation. Bets priced above fair are found by the scanner.

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