Brentford vs Nottingham Forest: Elo model prediction

⚽ · Model favourite: Brentford (66%).

Outcome probabilities

1 · Brentford66%fair odds 1.51
X · Draw19%fair odds 5.24
2 · Nottingham Forest15%fair odds 6.84

Elo rating

Brentford16635 of 20 in the league by strength
Nottingham Forest154718 of 20 in the league by strength

Exp. goals

2.2 : 0.9

Most likely scores: 2:0 (11%), 2:1 (10%), 1:0 (10%)

🔒 Over 2.5, BTTS — Pro

Stats: last 10 matches

TeamMatchesOver 2.5BTTSScoresConcedes
Brentford107/109/102.11.4
Nottingham Forest103/104/100.81.2

Frequency over 10 matches is history, not probability: the sample is small and opponents differ. The market accounts for more.

Form: Brentford

  • L2:3@ Sunderland
  • D1:1@ Hull City
  • L1:2Liverpool
  • D2:2@ Aston Villa
  • W3:0Chelsea

Form: Nottingham Forest

  • D1:1@ Ipswich
  • L0:1Arsenal
  • L1:3@ Crystal Palace
  • L0:1Coventry
  • W2:1@ Aston Villa

Head-to-head (last year)

  • LBrentford 0:2 Nottingham Forest

Result from the point of view of Brentford.

More matches: Premier League

This is a model estimate, not betting advice. The model does not know line-ups, injuries or motivation. Bets priced above fair are found by the scanner.

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