Aston Villa vs Fulham: Elo model prediction
⚽ · Model favourite: Aston Villa (59%).
Outcome probabilities
1 · Aston Villa59%fair odds 1.69
X · Draw21%fair odds 4.67
2 · Fulham19%fair odds 5.14
Elo rating
| Aston Villa | 1650 | 7 of 20 in the league by strength |
| Fulham | 1523 | 20 of 20 in the league by strength |
Stats: last 10 matches
| Team | Matches | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Scores | Concedes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 10 | 9/10 | 7/10 | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| Fulham | 10 | 4/10 | 4/10 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Frequency over 10 matches is history, not probability: the sample is small and opponents differ. The market accounts for more.
Form: Aston Villa
- L0:3@ Bournemouth
- W2:1Manchester City
- W3:1Viking
- W1:0@ Newcastle
- W6:0Fenerbahçe
Form: Fulham
- L0:1Crystal Palace
- W1:0@ Coventry
- W1:0Hull City
- L1:2@ Ipswich
- D1:1Manchester United
Head-to-head (last year)
- LFulham 1:0 Aston Villa
- WAston Villa 3:1 Fulham
Result from the point of view of Aston Villa.
More matches: Premier League
- Chelsea — Manchester United
- Bournemouth — Leeds
- Brentford — Nottingham Forest
- Coventry — Sunderland
- Hull City — Ipswich
- Manchester City — Brighton
- Tottenham — Crystal Palace
This is a model estimate, not betting advice. The model does not know line-ups, injuries or motivation. Bets priced above fair are found by the scanner.