Bournemouth vs Leeds: Elo model prediction

⚽ · Model favourite: Bournemouth (62%).

Outcome probabilities

1 · Bournemouth62%fair odds 1.61
X · Draw20%fair odds 5.13
2 · Leeds18%fair odds 5.47

Elo rating

Bournemouth16754 of 20 in the league by strength
Leeds16308 of 20 in the league by strength

Exp. goals

2.2 : 1.1

Most likely scores: 2:1 (10%), 1:1 (9%), 2:0 (9%)

🔒 Over 2.5, BTTS — Pro

Stats: last 10 matches

TeamMatchesOver 2.5BTTSScoresConcedes
Bournemouth108/103/102.30.9
Leeds103/106/101.41.2

Frequency over 10 matches is history, not probability: the sample is small and opponents differ. The market accounts for more.

Form: Bournemouth

  • W3:0Aston Villa
  • W3:0@ Manchester United
  • W3:0AC Milan
  • W2:0Sunderland
  • W3:0Sturm Graz

Form: Leeds

  • D0:0@ Sunderland
  • D1:1Manchester United
  • L1:2@ Arsenal
  • D0:0Crystal Palace
  • W4:1Newcastle

Head-to-head (last year)

  • DBournemouth 2:2 Leeds
  • DLeeds 2:2 Bournemouth

Result from the point of view of Bournemouth.

More matches: Premier League

This is a model estimate, not betting advice. The model does not know line-ups, injuries or motivation. Bets priced above fair are found by the scanner.

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