Chelsea vs Manchester United: Elo model prediction
⚽ · Model favourite: Chelsea (65%).
Outcome probabilities
1 · Chelsea65%fair odds 1.54
X · Draw17%fair odds 5.97
2 · Manchester United18%fair odds 5.47
Elo rating
| Chelsea | 1624 | 9 of 20 in the league by strength |
| Manchester United | 1569 | 12 of 20 in the league by strength |
Stats: last 10 matches
| Team | Matches | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Scores | Concedes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 10 | 6/10 | 6/10 | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| Manchester United | 10 | 5/10 | 6/10 | 1.2 | 1.8 |
Frequency over 10 matches is history, not probability: the sample is small and opponents differ. The market accounts for more.
Form: Chelsea
- D1:1@ Liverpool
- L0:2Tottenham
- W2:0@ Everton
- W5:1Bournemouth
- L0:3@ Brentford
Form: Manchester United
- L0:3Bournemouth
- L1:4@ Como
- D1:1@ Leeds
- L0:2@ Atletico Madrid
- D1:1Tottenham
Head-to-head (last year)
- LChelsea 0:1 Manchester United
Result from the point of view of Chelsea.
More matches: Premier League
- Bournemouth — Leeds
- Brentford — Nottingham Forest
- Coventry — Sunderland
- Hull City — Ipswich
- Manchester City — Brighton
- Tottenham — Crystal Palace
- Aston Villa — Fulham
This is a model estimate, not betting advice. The model does not know line-ups, injuries or motivation. Bets priced above fair are found by the scanner.