Coventry vs Sunderland: Elo model prediction

⚽ · Model favourite: Coventry (44%).

Outcome probabilities

1 · Coventry44%fair odds 2.29
X · Draw25%fair odds 3.96
2 · Sunderland31%fair odds 3.22

Elo rating

Coventry155117 of 20 in the league by strength
Sunderland159210 of 20 in the league by strength

Exp. goals

1.5 : 1.2

Most likely scores: 1:1 (12%), 1:0 (10%), 2:1 (9%)

🔒 Over 2.5, BTTS — Pro

Stats: last 10 matches

TeamMatchesOver 2.5BTTSScoresConcedes
Coventry106/104/101.12.0
Sunderland103/104/101.11.5

Frequency over 10 matches is history, not probability: the sample is small and opponents differ. The market accounts for more.

Form: Coventry

  • L0:1Fulham
  • L1:3@ Tottenham
  • W4:1Newcastle
  • W1:0@ Nottingham Forest
  • L1:3Aston Villa

Form: Sunderland

  • W3:2Brentford
  • D0:0Leeds
  • D1:1@ Lech Poznan
  • L0:2@ Bournemouth
  • W2:1@ Torreense

Head-to-head (last year)

The teams have not met in the last year.

More matches: Premier League

This is a model estimate, not betting advice. The model does not know line-ups, injuries or motivation. Bets priced above fair are found by the scanner.

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