Manchester City vs Brighton: Elo model prediction
⚽ · The model sees an even match.
Outcome probabilities
1 · Manchester City42%fair odds 2.37
X · Draw22%fair odds 4.56
2 · Brighton36%fair odds 2.79
Elo rating
| Manchester City | 1760 | 1 of 20 in the league by strength |
| Brighton | 1713 | 3 of 20 in the league by strength |
Stats: last 10 matches
| Team | Matches | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Scores | Concedes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 10 | 8/10 | 6/10 | 2.9 | 1.4 |
| Brighton | 10 | 6/10 | 3/10 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
Frequency over 10 matches is history, not probability: the sample is small and opponents differ. The market accounts for more.
Form: Manchester City
- D2:2Brighton
- L1:2@ Aston Villa
- W5:1AEK Athens FC
- W3:2Ipswich
- L2:4Paris Saint Germain
Form: Brighton
- D2:2@ Manchester City
- L0:2@ Liverpool
- D0:0@ FK Jablonec
- W5:0Crystal Palace
- W4:0Kauno Žalgiris
Head-to-head (last year)
- DManchester City 2:2 Brighton
- DManchester City 1:1 Brighton
Result from the point of view of Manchester City.
More matches: Premier League
- Chelsea — Manchester United
- Bournemouth — Leeds
- Brentford — Nottingham Forest
- Coventry — Sunderland
- Hull City — Ipswich
- Tottenham — Crystal Palace
- Aston Villa — Fulham
This is a model estimate, not betting advice. The model does not know line-ups, injuries or motivation. Bets priced above fair are found by the scanner.